Another week of odd calm ... at its heart a void of information from government. The economy is on life support, but the intentions of the physicians are unclear. In the data details, nothing new. Mortgage rates still rattle in a very narrow, high-four range, held so low only by the Fed's massive buying. The stock market has shown some buoyancy, holding its ranges: Dow 8,000 and S&P 850. That optimistic trading is based on hopes that the economy will follow prior cycles: New weekly claims for unemployment insurance may have hit cycle-top at 665,000 in early April, and history says recessions end two months after that top. Historically, we're overdue for an inventory pop -- new orders to replenish excessively depleted pipelines. Historically, we should soon begin to feel the s...
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