Don't twist my ARM

Despite bad rap, adjustable loans serve vital niche

Inman News®

By November 2009, the share of the home-loan market flowing to adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) had slipped below 6 percent. In a sense, this venerable product that has been with us for decades has almost disappeared from the marketplace. And that's a shame, because the basic ARM is a useful and efficient alternative to fixed-rate mortgages.

The problem for ARMs is that the financial services industry almost engineered the ARM into oblivion, creating numerous, obscure, high-risk products for consumers such as interest-only ARMs and option ARMs, both of which involved a formidable amount of payment shock.

Seemingly congenial, the interest-only ARM, as an example, allowed the consumer to initially pay just the interest and not the principal. Wow, what a break for the borrower, right?

Not really, because the mortgage continued to amortize, which meant that at the end of the interest-only period, payments increased substantially. Since interest-only ARMs and their brethren were often sold to consumers with income or credit deficiencies, when the payments reset it was almost a certainty the borrower would not be able to afford the terms.

"ARMs are not evil," asserts Keith Gumbinger, vice president of HSH Associates, a Pompton Plains, N.J., mortgage rate tracking firm. "The traditional ARM has well-demonstrated and well-understood risk. It's when you get into exotic payment methodologies where you are making payments that don't even cover the interest that things go badly. The problem isn't the ARM -- it is the payment structure which is overlaid on top that helps the borrower dig a deeper and deeper hole."

As a result of these engineered ARMs and the problems they have wrought, all ARMs, even the basic product, have been tarred.

"It has gotten to the point, where consumers, looking at ARMs, consider it toxic," says Gumbinger. "It is like touching the third rail of mortgage lending."

All this is unfortunate because ARMs are strategically useful to some consumers. The attraction with the ARM was a lower interest rate for the first, mostly five years. Then, there was a reset. Before 2007, most homeowners with an ARM usually refinanced to a fixed-rate mortgage before the resetting of the ARM to higher interest rates, or they moved to a new property.

"If you have a fixed horizon -- that is, if you know you are moving in five years, seven years or 10 years because of the particular stage of life you are in -- child going to college or for business purposes -- the ARM is a good product," says Neil Sullivan, president of Westfield Mortgage LLC in Westfield, N.J.

Let's say a family has three children under 3 and one of the parents has landed an excellent job. At the moment, the family could afford only a starter home, but the mother and father know that in a couple of years they will need to move to a bigger house. ...CONTINUED

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Submitted by Matt Carter on March 5, 2010 - 3:02pm.

Hybrid ARMs already seem to be making a comeback, at least among borrowers refinancing ARM loans. If you look at the latest stats from Freddie Mac, 10 percent of borrowers refinancing a hybrid ARM during the fourth quarter of 2009 chose the same type of loan, compared to 2 percent during the same period in 2008.

http://www.freddiemac.com/news/archives/corporate/2010/20100215_product_transition.html?attr=Corp021510

Jack Guttentag just did a nice piece on factors to consider when choosing between an ARM loan or fixed-rate mortgage.

http://www.inman.com/buyers-sellers/columnists/jackguttentag/arm-loans-a-risk-worth-taking

Two years ago, he said, the 25-basis point spread between a fixed-rate mortgage a 3/1 ARM wasn't large enough to justify the price risk, unless you were certain you were going to be out of your house in three years. Now, the spread on the 3/1 is more like 1.125 percent, and the 5/1, 7/1 and 10/1 ARM are also more attractive, he said.