High offers not translating into sales
REThink Real Estate
By Tara-Nicholle Nelson, Thursday, September 24, 2009.Q: I'm in the middle of selling my home. Houses are selling like gangbusters in my neck of the woods, so after waiting for almost two years I decided to put my place on the market. We had several offers and it really was a small bidding war.
I accepted the highest offer and signed the contract but the appraisal came in $50,000 below the contract price! I have no idea why -- my home has lots of upgrades, and several homes in my neighborhood are currently in contract above the asking prices. I suspect the buyer might have done something to keep the appraisal low, because now they're asking me to lower the price. My agent doesn't think they did anything underhanded but is also telling me to lower the price. What are my options?
A: Unfortunately, your problem -- a low appraisal -- is more common these days than you might expect. Appraisals are based on the sale prices of similar homes in the recent past. That means in an ascending market (a phase where prices are going up), there might be no recent closed sales at or above the agreed-upon price for your home. This is very likely what's going on in your situation, given your comment that there are many pending, above-asking comparables (rather than solds).
Mindset Management
Your options are few, but rethink of that as making your decision and action planning easier! We'll get to the facts and the courses of action available to you in a moment. First, though, understand that the effort to find someone to blame or to ascribe sinister intent or behavior is a counterproductive strategy. Unless you have hard evidence that the buyer did something shady, the much more plausible and commonplace explanation is that the appraiser could not find recently closed transactions to justify the contract price.
It's very common, in bidding-war situations, for prices to rapidly and significantly escalate above the asking price. That doesn't mean, however, that the recent sales to support that price are there.
For this reason, many listing agents will advise their seller clients to take only above-asking offers that are (a) within the realm of the price range that can be supported by the comparables for appraisal purposes, or (b) offers with no appraisal contingency, made by buyers with enough cash to make up the difference between the appraised price and the contract price in the event of a low appraisal.
Appraisers are currently under the gun, as a profession, because many pundits assign what they see as a pervasive pattern of inflated appraisals with at least partial blame for the housing crisis.
Because of that, appraisers are very cautious and conservative with their value estimates these days. In addition, the recently enactment of the Home Valuation Code of Conduct (HVCC) has largely removed the possibility of contact between the buyer, buyer's broker and lender. This envelops the appraiser in a sometimes-good, sometimes-bad cocoon of ignorance about the circumstances that might warrant a higher value, like your home's multiple offers or the current contract prices of the pending listings in your neighborhood.
Long story short -- chances are good that there's no monkey business, especially if that's also your agent's gut feeling. So stop wasting your energy on those conspiracy theories, and spend it, instead, on getting clear on what your priorities are and taking steps to further them.
Do you have to get top dollar to be able to afford to sell? Were any of the other buyers who made offers on your home able to purchase it with cash or willing to make up the difference if the home didn't appraise at the purchase price? Are any of those buyers still interested in your home? Ask your agent. Without these facts you're not equipped to make a sound decision.
If there are no other buyers on the scene who are willing to take your home at or near the contract price even with a low appraisal, proceed with caution. It sounds like to me that the contract price was way above what you thought you would get in the first place. Consider whether potentially higher, but hypothetical, "birds in the bush" are risking the one real offer you currently have in hand. ...CONTINUED
All rights reserved. This article may not be used or reproduced in any manner whatsoever, in part or in whole, without written permission of Inman News. Use of this article without permission is a violation of federal copyright law.


You must login or register to post a comment.
Submitted by Douglas Quenzer on September 24, 2009 - 12:09pm.
As a real estate appraiser here are some cautions and solutions.
1. Bidding wars often lead to people paying more than appropriate for the property. Emotion sets in and an "I've got to win" attitude sets in. Remember market value is about what a "typical" buyer would pay that is not "unduly motivated." Also just because someone is willing to pay a certain price doesn't mean that is the market value! There are many uneducated buyers.
2. In a rising market if there are pending sales available that support the value they can be used. In most states it is not possible to tell the appraiser what the terms of the contract is on a pending sale. However the appraiser can take the pending sale multiply the list price by the sale to list price ratio of the last 3 months. If values are really rising that ratio may be close to 99% or even 100%.
3. New sales data will change an appraiser's opinion, but it has to be recent, arm's length, and verifiable. I wouldn't worry about a past appraisal IF values are really going up and the data can substantiate that.