Dire prediction for jumbos

Without federal help, default rate set to soar

Inman News®

Flickr image by <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/mcgraths/3248483447/" target=blank>seanmcgrath</a>.Flickr image by seanmcgrath.

In springtime, when all things hopeful and botanical bloom, there was a widespread sprouting of press announcements, particularly from the major banks, about increased dollars allocated to the business of jumbo loans.

Alas, the soil for such pronouncements has proven poor. A dearth of jumbos persists and the market appears to be wilting.

As an executive at one mortgage research company told me, earlier this year there was a flurry of activity with Bank of America and other major banks announcing jumbo loan programs, "but I haven't heard anything since then. The market doesn't appear to have changed much. I think some of these announcements were made to generate good press. The banks were saying, 'Hey, we are open for business -- don't forget us,' but they weren't doing anything more than what they were doing before."

Jumbo loans are basically any mortgage where the principal amount exceeds the statutory purchase limit of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which has been set at $417,000 (Congress raised the upper limit in some high-cost areas to $729,750). In other words, with a conventional mortgage, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will buy the loan from the lender in the secondary market.

The agencies won't purchase jumbos, which in the past were securitized and bought by private investors. That process completely closed down with the onset of the recession and the collapse of the credit markets.

If you're BofA, or even ING Direct, which is also offering jumbo loans, then the loans have to be held in the bank's portfolio. Hence, these lenders are being very circumspect about the loans they make since they can no longer shed the risk to other investors.

"Lenders that have stepped into this space are predominantly portfolio lenders, so they are a little more restrictive in the kinds of loans they are interested in writing," notes Keith Gumbinger, vice president of HSH Associates Financial Publishers in Pompton Plains, N.J. "Fewer outlets are interested in lending them and when you do find them, the terms and credit restrictions are definitely tougher than they have been."

Back in March, an Inman News story reported that BofA had cut interest rates on jumbo mortgage loans in the hopes of expanding its share of the market. Nevertheless, borrowers would still need strong credit (minimum 720 FICO score), at least a 20 percent downpayment, and assets sufficient to cover six months of payments.

In general, the big banks don't have attractive rates on jumbos and "are very strict in regard to underwriting and property valuations," says Dan Cutaia, president and chief operating officer of Fairway Independent Mortgage Corp. in Sun Prairie, Wis. "Unless you have a lot of equity and you are 'gold' to a lender, it will be difficult to find a jumbo loan, and if you do, you are going to pay a significant market premium."

Fairway Independent Mortgage has been writing jumbo loans, which it brokers to companies like ING, but the deal has to be "absolutely golden," with lots of equity and great credit. In short, the borrower has to be perfect. ...CONTINUED

Share with REmessenger

You must login or register to post a comment.

 
Submitted by Matt Carter on November 6, 2009 - 9:00am.

It's true the secondary market for jumbo MBS went away in August/September 2007 and hasn't come back, which limits the pool of dollars available to make these loans.

Don't forget credit unions are also able to make jumbo loans against their deposits. Also, this summer JPMorgan Chase started buying jumbo loans made by correspondent lenders, and Citigroup is offering jumbo loans through mortgage brokers. See story:

http://www.inman.com/news/2009/07/6/signs-life-in-jumbo-lending