Pending sales slide in September

Real estate brief

Inman News®

September's pending sales of U.S. resale homes fell 4.6 percent from August as credit tightened and economic conditions worsened, the National Association of Realtors reported today.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in September, declined to 89.2 in September from an upwardly revised reading of 93.5 in August, but is 1.6 percent higher than September 2007 when it stood at 87.8.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said in a statement that pending sales have been above year-ago levels for two months in a row. "The month-to-month weakening in pending home sales is understandable, but because the index remains above year-ago levels it means we're still in a broad period of stabilization," he said. "Conditions remain mixed around the country, but markets that are showing annual sales gains include Long Island, N.Y.; Boston; Minneapolis; Denver and Washington, D.C., in addition to consistent solid gains in California and Florida."

The PHSI in the West rose 3.7 percent to 113.6 in September and remains 39.5 percent above a year ago. In the Midwest the index slipped 0.7 percent to 83.3 and is 3.1 percent below September 2007. The index in the South fell 7.9 percent to 89 in September and is 11.3 percent below a year ago. In the Northeast, the index dropped 16.8 percent to 66.4 and is 9.4 percent below September 2007.

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Submitted by Sean OToole on November 8, 2008 - 7:38am.

To say that things are stabilizing because of sales volume comparisons to a year ago is fairly disingenuous as they forget what happened a year ago (the start of the credit crunch and a freezing up of the lending markets).

In the real world volumes are stabilizing because prices have dropped significantly improving affordability.

NARs failure to understand that the return to affordability is continuing, inevitable and a good thing for REALTORs is bewildering.

Sean O'Toole
Founder / CEO
ForeclosureRadar.com
ForeclosureTruth.com

 
Submitted by Ki Gray on November 8, 2008 - 1:06pm.

I think in the beginning NAR was putting out a bunch of nonsense about how the market was doing fine. Personally I don't see what is wrong with saying its stabilizing. They are not saying its improving. If year to year pending sales are improving that is not a bad sign. We are not out of the woods but I actually thought pending sales were still going down year to year.

Site Austin real estate.
ProfileWimberley Real Estate

 
Submitted by Suzi Clue on November 9, 2008 - 1:39am.

I'd expect this to continue lower for a few more years. A survey conducted at Home Price Trend showed that over 65% of consumers believed that prices wouldn't stablize until atleast 2012.

sources: http://www.homepricetrend.com