Debunking the 'timing the market' myth
The Wheel Estate Cam: Episode 32
By Frank Borges LLosa, Friday, July 30, 2010.

Episode 32: Is it really possible to predict the next "up-and-coming" neighborhood to buy a house in? Is it reasonable for buyers to expect that a given area will experience home-price appreciation because it is close to a hip and happening area?
That guessing game is probably not worth the gamble, says Frank LLosa, broker at Frankly Realty, in this edition of The Wheel Estate Cam.
Just as with the stock market mantra, says LLosa, "past performance is not indicative of future results."
He adds, "My philosophy has always been: buy where you want to live."
But if the basis for a particular purchase is the prediction that a given neighborhood is going to somehow transform into a pricier neighborhood, he asks, "Is it really worth it?"
And in terms of trying to time the bottom of the housing market, LLosa says that can be a hit or miss proposition, too.
"One of my favorite sayings: 'There's no bell at the bottom of the market.' "
Watch past episodes of the Wheel Estate Cam.
Frank Borges LLosa is the broker, founder and owner of FranklyRealty.com, a real estate brokerage in Falls Church, Va. He is the creator of the Trust Me I'm a Realtor blog and multiple listing service wiki site FranklyMLS.com. You can follow him on Twitter: @franklyrealty.
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Submitted by Ruthmarie Hicks on August 1, 2010 - 12:04pm.
Thanks for the sanity. We had a lot of people betting on certain areas at the tail end of the boom. Now - in truth- they were following where developers were going. But the developers stopped building - sooooooo.
Now some areas in my stomping ground are pretty ripe for gentrification. But they are pretty obvious. Prices are nudging up in those areas - In other words - people are catching a wave that has already formed. They can make money, but not the big $$$ that the people who risked it all would make. But I prefer safe to sorry. These are areas that already have some of that development in place and where trendy is a block or two away- not a mile away.