Forecast: Recovery to pick up in late 2011 Premium Content

Uncertainty is recipe for 'very sluggish' growth

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Flickr image courtesy of <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/tsmall/3279590561/" target=blank>tsmall</a>.Flickr image courtesy of tsmall.

History suggests that recoveries from debt-fueled financial bubbles are bound to be slow.

But this time, a recovery is also being hampered by "an extraordinary increase" in policy uncertainty, according to the latest quarterly forecast by economists with the UCLA Anderson Forecast.

"With uncertainty hovering over the economy like a gray cloud, we don't visualize a return to trend growth to approach 3 percent or so until late 2011," said David Shulman, a senior economist with the UCLA Anderson Forecast.

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