Homebuyer tax credit off the radar

GAO puts bill for program at $22 billion through 2019

Inman News®

There's no serious talk of reinstating the homebuyer tax credit, the White House and real estate industry trade groups say, quashing speculation that followed statements Housing Secretary Shaun Donovan made on a Sunday morning news show.

Appearing on CNN's "State of the Union" on Aug. 29, Donovan said July's housing sales numbers were worse than expected. The Obama administration was rolling out a new FHA refinancing program targeted at underwater borrowers, he said, and an emergency loan program aimed at helping unemployed borrowers keep their homes.

Pressed by host Ed Henry on whether the administration was also considering reviving the homebuyer tax credit "to try to prop this industry up," Donovan said, "I think it's too early to say after one month of numbers whether the tax credit will be revived or not. All I can tell you is that we are watching very carefully."

In extending the tax credit for a third time last fall, lawmakers warned that they would not do so again. But Donovan's remarks suggested that the strategy might come back into play.

Two other guests on the show, Florida Gov. Charlie Crist and Rep. Kendrick Meek, D-Fla., candidates for U.S. Senate in November, said they'd welcome a restoration of the homebuyer tax credit program.

Three days later, Donovan clarified that bringing back the tax credit "is not high on anyone's list that we have heard," Reuters reported. "We have not heard Congress talking about renewing it."

Donovan also told Reuters that the Federal Housing Administration's refinance program was "something that we have talked about before, so it wasn't any new program."

FHA announced the FHA Short Refinance program in March, and released guidance to lenders on Aug. 6 for a Sept. 7 launch.

As for resurrecting the homebuyer tax credit, neither the National Association of Realtors nor the National Association of Home Builders -- industry groups who lobbied hard for its extension last fall -- want to see it come back now that it's expired, the San Francisco Chronicle reported.

Before the tax credit expired, NAR was reportedly lobbying for it to be extended through the end of the year, and an issue summary posted on the association's website still states that as the group's position.

There's been considerable debate about whether the credit -- three different versions of which were in place between April 9, 2008, and June 30, 2010 -- was worth an estimated $22 billion loss in revenue through 2019.

While more than 2.25 million homebuyers had claimed the credit in its various forms as of July 3, some critics say many of them would have bought a home anyway, and that the tax credit spurred only a fraction of those transactions.

The U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) released a report Thursday analyzing the number of claims received by state to date and the estimated dollar amounts of those claims. Claims topped $1 billion in California, Texas and Florida, and amounted to less than $50 million in less populous states like Vermont, Alaska, Hawaii, Delaware and North Dakota.

Top 10 states for homebuyer tax credit claims

State

Claims

Dollar amount

California

261,302

$1.95 billion

Texas

190,979

$1.39 billion

Florida

149,066

$1.08 billion

Illinois

84,559

$601 million

Pennsylvania

83,627

$591 million

New York

81,867

$579 million

Michigan

84,992

$538 million

Georgia

74,210

$538 million

Ohio

77,083

$530 million

North Carolina

67,026

$494 million


Source: U.S. Government Accountability Office

 

 
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Submitted by Scott Mendell on September 3, 2010 - 2:42pm.

This is a political powerhouse issue. If it does come back into play it will be because the Democrats are trying to prop up some numbers before the elections in November. If the economy shows no good signs before the end of September I believe the chances of the Tax credit being renewed grow drastically. Otherwise I don't believe that it will (or should)be reinstated.
The only thing that will bring a sustainable growth in our market will be a stronger economic base for employment and the general public working harder to clean their credit up. We can't afford to have the banking and lending rules loosened again. That would only return us to where we are now a few years down the road. There are still people who need homes and can qualify to get them. We just need to work harder and do a better job as Brokers.

Scott Mendell M.B.A., e-Pro, ABR, '95
Asociate Broker
NAR Green Certified
Elite Certified Default Resolution Specialist
Certified Negotiation Specialist
www.HoustonAreaFinerHomes.com
Better Homes & Gardens Real Estate
Cell: 281-433-7621 Fax: 877-79

 
Submitted by Kevin Spainhour on September 3, 2010 - 4:42pm.

It looks like we are in "silly season", as President Obama recently stated with the mid-term elections upon us.

So far today, we heard news in "silly season" making implications that 1) Foreclosures are going to happen much faster and now 2) that the a tax credit is not happening.

I say get some popcorn and watch the stories during "silly season".