Industry News

Risk of home-price declines rise

Future-Proof: Navigate Threats, Seize Opportunities at ICNY 2018 | Jan 22-26 at the Marriott Marquis, Times Square, New York

A number of the nation's largest housing markets remain at risk of price declines, according to the PMI U.S. Market Risk Index, released this week, and prices in many markets are overvalued. The median risk index value increased 11.6 percent, from 120 to 134. Topping the risk index list with a greater than 50 percent chance of experiencing price declines are Boston; San Diego, Long Island (Nassau-Suffolk), N.Y.; Santa Ana, Calif.; and Oakland, Calif. Nationwide, there is a 21.8 percent probability of an overall house price decline, as measured within the next two years and across the 50 largest housing markets, up slightly from 21.3 percent last quarter. At the top of the valuation index, a new feature this quarter, were Los Angeles, where home prices are estimated to be overvalued by 33.7 percent; Sacramento, by 31.3 percent; and Riverside, by 30.7 percent. The fall report is based on second-quarter data, so excludes the impact of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. "House prices are sti...