The National Association of Realtors, in its latest economic forecast, anticipates that the nation’s unemployment rate will hit 10.2 percent next year. The group also boosted its expectations for resale home prices and sales in 2010 from an earlier forecast.

In 2009, NAR expects the median price of resale homes to drop 4.9 percent compared to 2008, dipping to $188,500, before climbing 4.4 percent to $196,800 next year.

NAR’s latest forecast also calls for 4.97 million resale home sales this year, a 1.1 percent rise compared to 4.91 million last year, with sales of resale homes projected to rise 6.3 percent in 2010.

In its previous forecast, released last month (see Inman News), NAR estimated that the median price of resale homes would drop 5.1 percent this year and rise 4.1 percent in 2010, and that sales of resale homes would rise 1 percent this year and climb another 5.8 percent in 2010.

NAR’s affordability index, which measures how affordable homes are for households based on mortgage rates and income levels, decreased in March but remained near its record-high February level — the index was up 30.8 percentage points from its March 2008 level.

Also Monday, the association released the Pending Home Sales Index, which is based on home-purchase contracts signed but not yet closed.

The index, for the month of March, gained 3.2 percent compared to February and was up 1.1 percent over the March 2008 index.

Regionally, the index experienced a monthly rise in the South (8.5 percent) and West (3.9 percent) regions while dropping in the Northeast (-5.7 percent) and Midwest (-1 percent). And the index rose in the Midwest (8.2 percent), South (7.7 percent) and West (1.7 percent) while plummeting in the Northeast (-24.1 percent) region in March 2009 compared to March 2008.


What’s your opinion? Leave your comments below or send a letter to the editor.

Show Comments Hide Comments


Sign up for Inman’s Morning Headlines
What you need to know to start your day with all the latest industry developments
Thank you for subscribing to Morning Headlines.
Back to top
We're giving away 3 free ICLV tickets at Connect Now next week. Register and attend live for your chance to win!REGISTER×
Log in
If you created your account with Google or Facebook
Don't have an account?
Forgot your password?
No Problem

Simply enter the email address you used to create your account and click "Reset Password". You will receive additional instructions via email.

Forgot your username? If so please contact customer support at (510) 658-9252

Password Reset Confirmation

Password Reset Instructions have been sent to

Subscribe to The Weekender
Get the week's leading headlines delivered straight to your inbox.
Top headlines from around the real estate industry. Breaking news as it happens.
15 stories covering tech, special reports, video and opinion.
Unique features from hacker profiles to portal watch and video interviews.
Unique features from hacker profiles to portal watch and video interviews.
It looks like you’re already a Select Member!
To subscribe to exclusive newsletters, visit your email preferences in the account settings.
Up-to-the-minute news and interviews in your inbox, ticket discounts for Inman events and more
1-Step CheckoutPay with a credit card
By continuing, you agree to Inman’s Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.

You will be charged . Your subscription will automatically renew for on . For more details on our payment terms and how to cancel, click here.

Interested in a group subscription?
Finish setting up your subscription