Industry NewsMarkets & Economy

Europe’s struggle is U.S. gain

Future-Proof: Navigate Threats, Seize Opportunities at ICNY 2018 | Jan 22-26 at the Marriott Marquis, Times Square, New York

Last Sunday night, Europe threw a trillion bucks at its bank and bond runs. The euro recovered to $1.30 from the $1.25 pit that triggered the "Flash Crash" here (for context, $1.50 last Christmas), and Club Med bond prices shot up, as did stocks here in a short-covering panic as big as the crash. The market consensus: Europe might not have changed any fundamentals, but it had bought time. A lot of people learned in the winter of '08-'09 that it's silly to fight a motivated central bank that has a printing press on its side. The consensus lasted clear to Wednesday. "Wait a minute ..." popped into heads worldwide. The $1 trillion was mostly loan guarantees issued by governments already over-indebted and in terminal deficit. Loan guarantees aside, the centerpiece of euro self-rescue was the European Central Bank promise to support "Club Med" nations' bonds by buying them itself. No promise could have been more damaging. The ECB became the ba...