Mortgage rates hit 4-month low and have more room to drop
Homeowners rushed to refinance last week, and lender data shows homebuyer demand for purchase loans is up 17 percent from a year ago with Federal Reserve rate cuts on deck
by Matt Carter Aug 13
Gary Keller: Real estate could be in a recession until late 2026
At Keller Williams Mega Agent Camp, Co-Founder Gary Keller said the housing market could be in a recession through late 2026, as the economy experiences burgeoning stagflation
by Marian McPherson Aug 12
Mortgage rates drop with stocks on surprise jobs report and new tariffs
Trump announces new tariffs on dozens of countries beginning Aug. 7, fires BLS commissioner after revised jobs report shows dramatic slowdown in payroll growth in May and June
by Matt Carter Aug 1
Mortgage rates are headed up again on June CPI inflation report
Inflation moved away from the Fed's 2% target for the second month in a row, with the cost of goods and services rising 2.7% from a year ago, up from 2.3% in April: Bureau of Labor Statistics
by Matt Carter Jul 15
Mortgage rate drop unlikely after steady June jobs report
The report beat analyst expectations by 37K jobs, curtailing hopes of a short-term rate cut in July. Economists say rates will likely stay elevated, keeping homebuyers sidelined
by Marian McPherson Jul 3
Rising inventories have more homebuyers going to their lender
Purchase loan applications soared 10% last week to the highest level since April, even though rates have been stuck in the high 6s, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported Wednesday
by Matt Carter Jun 11
May CPI misses projections even as tariff effects hold off
The Consumer Price Index rose 2.4% year over year, slightly above April's 2.3% increase. Month over month, prices edged up just 0.1%, compared to 0.2% in April
by Richelle Hammiel Jun 11
Job market is cooling, but not fast enough to alarm Fed policymakers
An estimated 7.24M Americans were unemployed in May, as hiring by private employers slowed to slowest pace since October and the federal government continued to shrink its payroll
by Matt Carter Jun 6
Mortgage rates ease as economic data flashes recession warning
Consumer confidence sank to a 5-year low in April over concerns about tariffs, while trade deficit surged to an all-time high in March, and job postings shrank more than expected
by Matt Carter Apr 29
Mortgage rates down sharply as tariff worries spark flight to safety
Heightened fears of a trade war and recession have investors convinced the Fed will start cutting rates again in June, a sentiment that gives mortgage rates more room to come down
by Matt Carter Apr 4
Encouraging CPI inflation report does little for mortgage rates
Homebuyers have responded to a pullback in mortgage rates from January highs, but tariffs on imported goods could keep inflation elevated and halt the downward trend in rates
by Matt Carter Mar 12
Weak February jobs report moves the needle on mortgage rates
Mortgage rates eased Friday as investors took stock of new data showing employers added 151,000 workers to their payrolls in February and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.1%
by Matt Carter Mar 7
Mortgage rates climbing again on hot CPI report, Powell testimony
Trump calls for lower interest rates after release of January CPI report. Powell says Fed is in no hurry to cut rates, and bond market investors who fund mortgages are taking him at his word
by Matt Carter Feb 12
real estate economist
Windermere’s Principal Economist Jeff Tucker looks at mortgage rates and the factors that have pushed them up more than a point since September
by Jeff Tucker Jan 17
Strong December jobs report pushes mortgage rates higher
Investors who fund most home loans are now convinced that the Federal Reserve won't cut rates again until June after employers add 256K jobs and unemployment falls to 4.1%
by Matt Carter Jan 10