Rising inventories have more homebuyers going to their lender
Purchase loan applications soared 10% last week to the highest level since April, even though rates have been stuck in the high 6s, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported Wednesday
by Matt Carter Jun 11
May CPI misses projections even as tariff effects hold off
The Consumer Price Index rose 2.4% year over year, slightly above April's 2.3% increase. Month over month, prices edged up just 0.1%, compared to 0.2% in April
by Richelle Hammiel Jun 11
Job market is cooling, but not fast enough to alarm Fed policymakers
An estimated 7.24M Americans were unemployed in May, as hiring by private employers slowed to slowest pace since October and the federal government continued to shrink its payroll
by Matt Carter Jun 6
Mortgage rates ease as economic data flashes recession warning
Consumer confidence sank to a 5-year low in April over concerns about tariffs, while trade deficit surged to an all-time high in March, and job postings shrank more than expected
by Matt Carter Apr 29
Mortgage rates down sharply as tariff worries spark flight to safety
Heightened fears of a trade war and recession have investors convinced the Fed will start cutting rates again in June, a sentiment that gives mortgage rates more room to come down
by Matt Carter Apr 4
Encouraging CPI inflation report does little for mortgage rates
Homebuyers have responded to a pullback in mortgage rates from January highs, but tariffs on imported goods could keep inflation elevated and halt the downward trend in rates
by Matt Carter Mar 12
Weak February jobs report moves the needle on mortgage rates
Mortgage rates eased Friday as investors took stock of new data showing employers added 151,000 workers to their payrolls in February and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.1%
by Matt Carter Mar 7
Mortgage rates climbing again on hot CPI report, Powell testimony
Trump calls for lower interest rates after release of January CPI report. Powell says Fed is in no hurry to cut rates, and bond market investors who fund mortgages are taking him at his word
by Matt Carter Feb 12
real estate economist
Windermere’s Principal Economist Jeff Tucker looks at mortgage rates and the factors that have pushed them up more than a point since September
by Jeff Tucker Jan 17
Strong December jobs report pushes mortgage rates higher
Investors who fund most home loans are now convinced that the Federal Reserve won't cut rates again until June after employers add 256K jobs and unemployment falls to 4.1%
by Matt Carter Jan 10
Hiring slows and unemployment rises, boosting odds of Fed rate cut
Employers added 227,000 workers to their payrolls in November, but with 7.1 million Americans out of work, the unemployment rate is back up to 4.2%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports
by Matt Carter Dec 6
Weak jobs, manufacturing reports provide no relief for mortgage rates
Hurricanes and strikes were expected to dent job creation, and bond market investors are looking ahead to next week's election, Fed meeting and government bond auctions, analysts say
by Matt Carter Nov 1
Inflation cooled in September, nearing the Fed's 2% target
Mortgage rates inch up as an expected decline in key inflation gauge does little to change expectations for Fed rate cuts among investors who fund most home loans
by Matt Carter Oct 31
Mortgage rates are soaring on strong September jobs report
With a soft landing seen as more likely, analysts say Fed can be more cautious about the pace of future rate cuts and mortgage rates aren't likely to fall below 6% anytime soon
by Matt Carter Oct 4
Fed expected to be cautious in cutting rates next week
A surprisingly large increase in core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, means Fed policymakers are likely to start out with a modest 25 basis-point rate cut next week
by Matt Carter Sep 11