A June rate cut is now seen as off the table as Fed stays put
Job market is 'solid,' and central bank policymakers need time to assess Trump administration's 'substantial policy changes' in areas including tariffs, immigration, taxation and regulations
by Matt Carter May 7
Tariff fears sour consumer sentiment, push mortgage rates up
The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment fell 11% from March to April to 50.8 and is now lower than it was at any point during the 2007-2009 Great Recession
by Matt Carter Apr 11
Surprise Fed move takes some pressure off of mortgage rates
Central bank dials back Treasury rolloffs but is not ready to cut short-term interest rates, as Fed policymakers indicate they're more worried about inflation than they were in December
by Matt Carter Mar 19
Inflation is cooling. But is the economy about to crash?
After moving in the wrong direction for 3 months, annual inflation cooled to 2.5% in January. But the biggest drop in consumer spending since 2021 has 1 model predicting a shrinking economy
by Matt Carter Feb 28
Fed pauses rate cuts, continues mortgage 'quantitative tightening'
Trump wants the central bank to lower rates. Fed Chair Jerome Powell says he's not spoken to the President, and that 'we don't need to be in a hurry to adjust the policy stance'
by Matt Carter Jan 29
Sustained drop in mortgage rates gets attention of homebuyers
Purchase mortgage demand picks up for the 4th week in a row to highest level since January as rates continue a post-election retreat that could have legs: MBA survey
by Matt Carter Dec 4
Investors now certain Fed will cut in September. But by how much?
Falling mortgage rates have more homeowners interested in refinancing, but homebuyers are largely staying on the sidelines. Rates may now be poised for a bigger drop
by Matt Carter Aug 21
Mortgage rates bounce back before homebuyers can pounce
The big drop in mortgage rates did more to spur refinancing than homebuying, according to a weekly survey of lenders by the Mortgage Bankers Association, and now rates are rising again
by Matt Carter Aug 7
FHA, VA requests drive pickup in purchase mortgage demand
Rates surged and then pulled back last week in what could foreshadow more election-year volatility in the months ahead. Powell tells Congress Fed will remain above the fray
by Matt Carter Jul 10