Rates ease as inflation gauge moves in the right direction
Mortgage rates have some room to come back down in June after PCE price index shows annual inflation easing to 2.65% in April, and Q1 2024 GDP growth revised downward to 1.3%
by Matt Carter May 31
Mortgage rates headed under 7% on encouraging inflation data
Homebuyers have yet to respond in force to drop in rates, which have been in retreat from 2024 highs for 3 consecutive weeks following Fed easing and soft jobs and CPI reports
by Matt Carter May 15
Latest inflation numbers don't rule out June rate cut, economists say
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge moved in the wrong direction last month for the first time since September, but core inflation fell for the 13th consecutive month, to 2.8%
by Matt Carter Apr 1
Fed preparing to slow the pace of 'quantitative tightening'
In addition to anticipating 3 rate cuts this year, Federal Reserve policymakers are considering whether to taper the pace at which they unwind the central bank's $7T balance sheet
by Matt Carter Mar 20
Surging mortgage rates gain momentum on new inflation data
Mortgage rates rise for the fourth day in a row, pushing back through 7% as more worrisome inflation data puts to rest any lingering hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut this spring
by Matt Carter Mar 14
Latest inflation numbers give mortgage rates some room to fall
A key Fed inflation metric, the PCE price index, continues to drop toward the Fed's 2% inflation target, falling from 2.6% annual growth in December to 2.4% in January
by Matt Carter Feb 29
Rising mortgage rates taking a big bite out of homebuyer demand
Applications for purchase loans have dropped 4 weeks in a row, plummeting by a seasonally adjusted 10% last week, according to a survey of lenders by the Mortgage Bankers Association
by Matt Carter Feb 21
Demand for purchase mortgages drops for 3rd week in a row
MBA lender survey shows applications from homebuyers are down 12% from a year ago, as mortgage rates continue to rebound from December lows on stubborn inflation data
by Matt Carter Feb 14
Blowout January jobs report has mortgage rates surging again
Employers added 353,000 workers to their payrolls in January, a 'head scratching' jobs report from the Labor Department that kills prospects for a March rate cut 'stone dead,' economist says
by Matt Carter Feb 2
Fed policymakers want more data, dash hopes of March rate cut
Chair Jerome Powell says a rate cut at the central bank's next meeting is not 'the base case,' with policymakers wanting to see more data showing inflation is on a sustainable path down to 2%
by Matt Carter Jan 31
Jump in key inflation gauge may delay mortgage rate relief
Futures markets still hold out hope for a March rate cut, even as annual inflation increased to 3.4% in December, moving away from the Fed's 2% goal for the first time since September
by Matt Carter Jan 11
Economic Outlook: Recession may be what drives rates down in 2024
Does the rapid slowdown in the economy mean a recession is now inevitable in the new year, or is a 'soft landing' still possible? Economists are divided on the nation's economic outlook for 2024
by Matt Carter Jan 8
Mortgage rates are in free fall as economy continues to cool
While Federal Reserve policymakers had forecast 3 rate cuts next year, futures markets see an 85% chance of at least 6 rate cuts after a key inflation metric shows the economy is cooling rapidly
by Matt Carter Dec 27
Mortgage rates poised to drop as Fed projects 3 cuts
Federal Reserve policymakers anticipate 3 rate cuts by the end of next year, but investors and some economists think the central bank may cut faster and harder, with relief by spring
by Matt Carter Dec 13
Mortgage rates edge up on surprisingly strong jobs report
Employers added 199,000 workers to their payrolls in November, a sign that the economy may achieve a soft landing but making Fed spring rate cuts less likely
by Matt Carter Dec 8