Jobs report gives the Fed more leeway for a September rate cut
With Trump's Aug. 1 trade deal deadline looming, new readings on consumer confidence show would-be homebuyers may be getting less fearful that tariffs will tank the economy
by Matt Carter Jul 29
Mortgage rates are headed up again on June CPI inflation report
Inflation moved away from the Fed's 2% target for the second month in a row, with the cost of goods and services rising 2.7% from a year ago, up from 2.3% in April: Bureau of Labor Statistics
by Matt Carter Jul 15
Downward trend in mortgage rates not enough to spur homebuyers
Requests to refinance are up 40% from a year ago, but uncertainty 'continues to hold homebuyers out of the market,' Mortage Bankers Association economist Joel Kan said Wednesday
by Matt Carter Jul 2
Fed expected to resist pressure from Trump for July rate cut
As Federal Reserve policymakers await more data confirming that inflation has been tamed, futures markets put the odds of a September rate cut at 90%, up from 64% a week ago
by Matt Carter Jun 25
Rising inventories have more homebuyers going to their lender
Purchase loan applications soared 10% last week to the highest level since April, even though rates have been stuck in the high 6s, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported Wednesday
by Matt Carter Jun 11
Job market is cooling, but not fast enough to alarm Fed policymakers
An estimated 7.24M Americans were unemployed in May, as hiring by private employers slowed to slowest pace since October and the federal government continued to shrink its payroll
by Matt Carter Jun 6
A June rate cut is now seen as off the table as Fed stays put
Job market is 'solid,' and central bank policymakers need time to assess Trump administration's 'substantial policy changes' in areas including tariffs, immigration, taxation and regulations
by Matt Carter May 7
Shrinking economy bolsters the case for a June Fed rate cut
Advance GDP reading suggests the economy shrank by 0.3% during Q1, as a rush by businesses to import goods before tariffs took hold and government spending cuts dented growth
by Matt Carter Apr 30
Mortgage rates ease as economic data flashes recession warning
Consumer confidence sank to a 5-year low in April over concerns about tariffs, while trade deficit surged to an all-time high in March, and job postings shrank more than expected
by Matt Carter Apr 29
Tariff fears sour consumer sentiment, push mortgage rates up
The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment fell 11% from March to April to 50.8 and is now lower than it was at any point during the 2007-2009 Great Recession
by Matt Carter Apr 11
Inflation eased in March, but tariff impacts remain to be seen
Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index dropped to an annual rate of 2.4% last month, but the impact of tariffs probably won't start showing up in the data until May
by Matt Carter Apr 10
Mortgage rates down sharply as tariff worries spark flight to safety
Heightened fears of a trade war and recession have investors convinced the Fed will start cutting rates again in June, a sentiment that gives mortgage rates more room to come down
by Matt Carter Apr 4
Trump announces universal tariffs of at least 10% on most nations
Sweeping plan imposes higher duties on 'worst offenders' and is in addition to 25% tariff on foreign automobiles slated to take effect April 3, president says at White House press conference
by Matt Carter Apr 2
Surprise Fed move takes some pressure off of mortgage rates
Central bank dials back Treasury rolloffs but is not ready to cut short-term interest rates, as Fed policymakers indicate they're more worried about inflation than they were in December
by Matt Carter Mar 19
Inflation, job worries drive 'horrific' consumer confidence report
Republicans are less worried about the future than Democrats and Independents, but 'consumers from all 3 political affiliations are in agreement that the outlook has weakened since February'
by Matt Carter Mar 14