Fed preparing to slow the pace of 'quantitative tightening'
In addition to anticipating 3 rate cuts this year, Federal Reserve policymakers are considering whether to taper the pace at which they unwind the central bank's $7T balance sheet
by Matt Carter Mar 20
Rising mortgage rates taking a big bite out of homebuyer demand
Applications for purchase loans have dropped 4 weeks in a row, plummeting by a seasonally adjusted 10% last week, according to a survey of lenders by the Mortgage Bankers Association
by Matt Carter Feb 21
Many hoped a March rate cut would boost housing. Now, it's not so clear
Most real estate professionals believe rate cuts by the Fed will be crucial for a sales recovery, according to results from the Inman Intel Index survey. But the timing on those cuts is hazy
by Chris LeBarton Feb 19
Fed policymakers want more data, dash hopes of March rate cut
Chair Jerome Powell says a rate cut at the central bank's next meeting is not 'the base case,' with policymakers wanting to see more data showing inflation is on a sustainable path down to 2%
by Matt Carter Jan 31
Applications for purchase loans sag for first time in 2024
Firming up of mortgage rates finally catches up with homebuyer demand, with applications for purchase loans falling by a seasonally adjusted 11% last week, MBA survey shows
by Matt Carter Jan 31
Mortgage rates are in free fall as economy continues to cool
While Federal Reserve policymakers had forecast 3 rate cuts next year, futures markets see an 85% chance of at least 6 rate cuts after a key inflation metric shows the economy is cooling rapidly
by Matt Carter Dec 27
Mortgage rates poised to drop as Fed projects 3 cuts
Federal Reserve policymakers anticipate 3 rate cuts by the end of next year, but investors and some economists think the central bank may cut faster and harder, with relief by spring
by Matt Carter Dec 13
Fed Chair Powell's attempt to deflate rate-cut expectations flops
Rates keep falling as fresh data pours in, with investors who fund most mortgages still convinced the Federal Reserve will begin lowering rates in the spring to avoid strangling the economy
by Matt Carter Dec 1
Big drop in mortgage rates as unemployment hints at recession
After breaching 8% in mid-October, 30-year fixed mortgage rates have plummeted to levels not seen since September as more investors expect Fed policymakers to lower rates in the spring
by Matt Carter Nov 3
Mortgage demand slips again as rates continue relentless rise
Loan applications slip to lowest level since 1995 as mortgage rates climb for the 7th week in a row, according to a weekly survey of lenders by the Mortgage Bankers Association
by Matt Carter Oct 25
Mortgage rates ease after Powell weighs in on impacts of tightening
The Fed chair acknowledged that elevated term premiums — higher rates of return bond investors are demanding to compensate them for risk — could reduce the need for further rate hikes
by Matt Carter Oct 20
Mortgage demand fades as buyers watch rates hit 2-decade high
Fed's 'higher for longer' rate strategy drives yields on long-term Treasurys higher, and mortgage rates follow to highest levels in over 20 years, MBA lender survey shows
by Matt Carter Sep 27
Fed stays put but is prepared to hike rates one more time this year
Treasury yields, a barometer for mortgage rates, barely budged Wednesday as bond market investors look ahead to next year when the Fed is expected to start bringing rates back down
by Matt Carter Sep 20
Bond market investors convinced Fed won't hike rates next week
Demand for purchase loans picks up slightly, and mortgage rates continue to remain below 2023 peaks, as latest inflation data out Wednesday doesn't ruffle investors who fund most mortgages
by Matt Carter Sep 13
Purchase loan applications once again at lowest level since 1995
Mortgage rates are climbing back toward 2023 highs as more inflation data comes in hot, spurring fears of another Federal Reserve rate hike in November and 'higher for longer' policy
by Matt Carter Sep 6