Pressure on mortgage rates eases as Trump pauses higher tariffs
Stocks rebounded and pressure on interest rates eased after Trump announced a 90-day pause on country-specific 'reciprocal tariffs' with the exception of 125% duties on China
by Matt Carter Apr 9
Inflation is cooling. But is the economy about to crash?
After moving in the wrong direction for 3 months, annual inflation cooled to 2.5% in January. But the biggest drop in consumer spending since 2021 has 1 model predicting a shrinking economy
by Matt Carter Feb 28
Weak jobs, manufacturing reports provide no relief for mortgage rates
Hurricanes and strikes were expected to dent job creation, and bond market investors are looking ahead to next week's election, Fed meeting and government bond auctions, analysts say
by Matt Carter Nov 1
Mortgage rates are soaring on strong September jobs report
With a soft landing seen as more likely, analysts say Fed can be more cautious about the pace of future rate cuts and mortgage rates aren't likely to fall below 6% anytime soon
by Matt Carter Oct 4
New inflation data gives mortgage rates room to keep coming down
With inflation continuing to inch closer to the Fed's 2% goal in August, bond market investors are getting more confident that the central bank will continue to cut rates aggressively in November
by Matt Carter Sep 27
July inflation reading trims the odds of a big September rate cut
PCE price index shows inflation continued to cool in July, but at a gentle enough pace that Fed policymakers are now seen as likely to only bring rates down by a hair in September
by Matt Carter Aug 30
Mortgage rates trending down as Fed rate cuts seen as certain
Investors see a September rate cut as a given, but the latest inflation data suggests recession fears are overblown and that the Fed will start out with a modest, 25-basis point reduction
by Matt Carter Aug 14
Jump in key inflation gauge may delay mortgage rate relief
Futures markets still hold out hope for a March rate cut, even as annual inflation increased to 3.4% in December, moving away from the Fed's 2% goal for the first time since September
by Matt Carter Jan 11
Interest rates surge again on surprisingly strong jobs report
Employers added 336,000 jobs in September, the biggest jump since January, raising the odds that the Fed will pursue 'higher for longer' rate strategy to get inflation under control
by Matt Carter Oct 6
Mortgage rates tumble on signs that inflation is easing
Rates for several types of mortgages fell more than half a percentage point Thursday, with 30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaging 6.62%
by Matt Carter Nov 10
Pointing to Ukraine war, Fed approves another drastic rate hike
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell says pace of rate hikes could slow but may ultimately need to go higher than policymakers had forecast at their September meeting
by Matt Carter Nov 2