That big Fed rate cut was no panacea for housing: Fitch analysts
Fed easing was already priced into mortgage rates, but there's room for more relief if investors who fund most home loans get less skittish about prepayment risk and quantitative tightening
by Matt Carter Sep 19
Fed begins rate-cutting campaign with reduction in federal funds rate
Central bank policymakers drop short-term rates by 1/2 percentage point and signal more cuts ahead, but much of the impact may have already been priced in to mortgage rates
by Matt Carter Sep 18
Investors' expectations for big Fed rate cut rise on new data releases
Investors who fund most mortgages have already priced in several rate cuts, so further declines could depend on what next week's 'dot plot' says about expectations for the pace of future cuts
by Matt Carter Sep 13
Fed expected to be cautious in cutting rates next week
A surprisingly large increase in core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, means Fed policymakers are likely to start out with a modest 25 basis-point rate cut next week
by Matt Carter Sep 11
More Americans think mortgage rates and home prices will drop
Fannie Mae's National Housing Survey shows there's greater optimism about the future, but fewer than 1 in 5 consumers thought August was a good time to buy a home
by Matt Carter Sep 9
As Americans struggle with rates, inventory, Japan sees the opposite
The East Asian island country has experienced decades of near-0% interest rates and an abundance of inventory, but the government has started to increase rates as wages have risen
Mortgage rates are tumbling again as job openings hit 18-month low
Bond market investors who fund most mortgages are already certain the Fed will slash rates this month. The question has become how much will policymakers cut on Sept. 18, Nov. 7 and Dec. 18?
by Matt Carter Sep 4
July inflation reading trims the odds of a big September rate cut
PCE price index shows inflation continued to cool in July, but at a gentle enough pace that Fed policymakers are now seen as likely to only bring rates down by a hair in September
by Matt Carter Aug 30
Homebuyers still waiting for more listings and lower mortgage rates
The Fed doesn't have direct control over mortgage rates, but they've come down dramatically as investors are convinced policymakers will cut rates at their 3 remaining 2024 meetings
by Matt Carter Aug 28
Mortgage a tough nut to crack for technology provider nCino
Shares in the cloud banking solutions developer are down 14% after it says that mortgage tech business acquired for nearly $1B has been a drag on growth but is expected to pick up
by Matt Carter Aug 28
Investors now certain Fed will cut in September. But by how much?
Falling mortgage rates have more homeowners interested in refinancing, but homebuyers are largely staying on the sidelines. Rates may now be poised for a bigger drop
by Matt Carter Aug 21
It will take time for falling rates to translate into sales: Fannie Mae
Affordability challenges will limit growth in home sales to 0.5% this year — to just 4.78M — before surging to 5.19M in 2025, according to the latest housing forecast from Fannie Mae economists
by Matt Carter Aug 21
Mortgage rates trending down as Fed rate cuts seen as certain
Investors see a September rate cut as a given, but the latest inflation data suggests recession fears are overblown and that the Fed will start out with a modest, 25-basis point reduction
by Matt Carter Aug 14
Gary Keller's advice for navigating recession, commission confusion
At Keller Williams' annual Mega Agent Camp, franchise founder Gary Keller and several leaders shared how agents can navigate recession fears and commission confusion with clarity
by Marian McPherson Aug 13
Mortgage rates bounce back before homebuyers can pounce
The big drop in mortgage rates did more to spur refinancing than homebuying, according to a weekly survey of lenders by the Mortgage Bankers Association, and now rates are rising again
by Matt Carter Aug 7