He's been at the MBA and Fannie Mae. Here's who he thinks has the better 2026 mortgage forecast
Economist Doug Duncan weighs in on the challenges facing economic forecasters today, cutbacks in economic reports produced by Fannie and Freddie, Fed independence, and more
by Matt Carter Dec 31
Home sales could inch up even if growth stays sluggish next year
Home sales should break through the 5M mark next year as more inventory gradually comes on the market and home prices decline, economists at the Mortgage Bankers Association predict
by Matt Carter Dec 22
Mortgage demand dips as Fed signals cautious approach to rates
Homebuyer demand is still stronger than a year ago, but seasonal shifts have pushed the mix of business toward refinancing, which accounted for 59% of loan applications last week
by Matt Carter Dec 17
Inventory tightens up as new listings tank: Redfin
As Americans become immersed in the hustle and bustle of the holiday season and buyer demand softens, homesellers are pulling back from the housing market
by Lillian Dickerson Dec 11
Homebuyer demand stays strong as mortgage rates stabilize near 2025 lows: MBA lender surveys
With mortgage rates still hovering near 2025 lows, purchase loan applications hit their second-highest level of the year last week after adjusting for seasonal factors
by Matt Carter Dec 10
stop losing real estate deals
Tighter inventories in some markets have helped firm up home prices in recent months, so many homebuyers will remain stretched unless mortgage rates keep falling
by Matt Carter Dec 8
Inflation eases, but mortgage rates don't as investor worries remain
While a Dec. 10 Federal Reserve rate cut is now seen as a lock, MBS investors who fund most home loans aren't as bullish that the central bank will cut rates aggressively in 2026
by Matt Carter Dec 5
Homebuyers made time for mortgages around Thanksgiving
Demand for purchase loans hit a new 2025 high last week after adjusting for the holiday, with mortgage rates near a low for the year and a Dec. 10 Fed rate cut on tap
by Matt Carter Dec 3
Homebuyers came out in force last week, and rates are trending down
Applications for purchase mortgages hit a seasonally adjusted 2025 high last week, with FHA, VA, and USDA applications for less pricey homes driving the surge, MBA lender survey shows
by Matt Carter Nov 26
Rising unemployment revives prospects for December rate cut
Fannie Mae forecasters are predicting mortgage rates will fall below 6 percent by the end of next year. Economists at the Mortgage Bankers Association don't see rates coming down at all.
by Matt Carter Nov 21
Rebounding mortgage rates dampen homebuyers' appetites
After hitting a 2025 low on Oct. 28, mortgage rates continue to rise as hopes dim for a December Fed rate cut. Futures market investors see only a 34% chance of a Dec. 10 rate cut.
by Matt Carter Nov 19
Homebuying off to strongest November start since 2022
Rebounding mortgage rates didn't stop buyers from shopping for deals last week, with requests for purchase loans up 6% last week compared to the week before and 31% from a year ago
by Matt Carter Nov 12
Demand for mortgages cools as rates rebound from 2025 low
Mortgage rates hit a new 2025 low of 6.12 percent on Oct. 28, but have been on the rise after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said there's no guarantee the Fed will cut rates for a third time in December
by Matt Carter Nov 5
Median monthly housing payments see sharpest drop in almost 1 year
The drop in monthly payments, Redfin reported, followed a decrease in mortgage rates, with 30-year fixed-rate mortgages ultimately hitting a 2025 low of 6.12% on Tuesday
by Lillian Dickerson Oct 30
Mortgage rates spike as Powell warns December rate cut is iffy
After the Federal Reserve approved the second rate cut of the year, mortgage rates moved in the opposite direction as investors who fund most home loans worry about inflation
by Matt Carter Oct 29