Mortgage rates ease as economic data flashes recession warning
Consumer confidence sank to a 5-year low in April over concerns about tariffs, while trade deficit surged to an all-time high in March, and job postings shrank more than expected
by Matt Carter Apr 29
Homebuyer demand falls for 2nd consecutive week as rates climb
Economic uncertainty, rate volatility and mounting worries about the labor market are reducing the pool of potential buyers, putting a damper on the spring homebuying season
by Matt Carter Apr 23
Homebuyers get cold feet as mortgage rates rebound
Mortgage rates are climbing back toward 7% on fears that tariffs could reignite inflation, but Fed Chair Jerome Powell warns policymakers would be challenged if unemployment also rises
by Matt Carter Apr 16
Tariff fears sour consumer sentiment, push mortgage rates up
The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment fell 11% from March to April to 50.8 and is now lower than it was at any point during the 2007-2009 Great Recession
by Matt Carter Apr 11
Inflation eased in March, but tariff impacts remain to be seen
Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index dropped to an annual rate of 2.4% last month, but the impact of tariffs probably won't start showing up in the data until May
by Matt Carter Apr 10
Pressure on mortgage rates eases as Trump pauses higher tariffs
Stocks rebounded and pressure on interest rates eased after Trump announced a 90-day pause on country-specific 'reciprocal tariffs' with the exception of 125% duties on China
by Matt Carter Apr 9
Mortgage rates down sharply as tariff worries spark flight to safety
Heightened fears of a trade war and recession have investors convinced the Fed will start cutting rates again in June, a sentiment that gives mortgage rates more room to come down
by Matt Carter Apr 4
Trump announces universal tariffs of at least 10% on most nations
Sweeping plan imposes higher duties on 'worst offenders' and is in addition to 25% tariff on foreign automobiles slated to take effect April 3, president says at White House press conference
by Matt Carter Apr 2
Surprise Fed move takes some pressure off of mortgage rates
Central bank dials back Treasury rolloffs but is not ready to cut short-term interest rates, as Fed policymakers indicate they're more worried about inflation than they were in December
by Matt Carter Mar 19
Inflation, job worries drive 'horrific' consumer confidence report
Republicans are less worried about the future than Democrats and Independents, but 'consumers from all 3 political affiliations are in agreement that the outlook has weakened since February'
by Matt Carter Mar 14
Weak February jobs report moves the needle on mortgage rates
Mortgage rates eased Friday as investors took stock of new data showing employers added 151,000 workers to their payrolls in February and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.1%
by Matt Carter Mar 7
Homebuyers and homeowners jump on big drop in mortgage rates
Requests to refinance surged 37% last week and were up 83% from a year ago after the biggest 1-week decline in mortgage rates since November, the MBA's latest weekly lender survey shows
by Matt Carter Mar 5
Inflation is cooling. But is the economy about to crash?
After moving in the wrong direction for 3 months, annual inflation cooled to 2.5% in January. But the biggest drop in consumer spending since 2021 has 1 model predicting a shrinking economy
by Matt Carter Feb 28
Constellation Software launches new data services business
Constellation Data Labs will provide active property listings and public records to a broader range of industries including mortgage lenders, asset managers and insurers
by Matt Carter Feb 18
Mortgage rates climbing again on hot CPI report, Powell testimony
Trump calls for lower interest rates after release of January CPI report. Powell says Fed is in no hurry to cut rates, and bond market investors who fund mortgages are taking him at his word
by Matt Carter Feb 12