There is new, nonrecession data here, more elegant pretending in Europe — now can-kicking at two-week intervals — and fear has left markets. For now.
September retail sales rose 1.1 percent over August, and the small-business National Federal of Independent Business survey also found conditions in September slightly improved. In direct result, 10-year Treasury notes are trading up from 1.7 percent just two weeks ago to 2.25 percent, a two-month high. Mortgage rates have risen accordingly, pressing to 4.375 percent.