March CPI jumps 0.9% as gas prices surge on Iran conflict
Energy costs drove the biggest monthly inflation increase since 2022
by Jessi Healey Apr 10
More homes sold. Lower rates. Lower inflation. Where Fannie Mae expects the market to move
Economists with the mortgage giant shared a glimmer of good news for real estate professionals in a pair of new forecasts
by Taylor Anderson Oct 24
Rising inflation makes 'jumbo' Fed rate cut unlikely next week
Initial jobless claims climbed last week to the highest level since Oct. 23, 2021, but investors and economists are expecting 3 small rate cuts this year rather than a dramatic move on Sept. 17
by Matt Carter Sep 11
Mortgage rates are headed up again on June CPI inflation report
Inflation moved away from the Fed's 2% target for the second month in a row, with the cost of goods and services rising 2.7% from a year ago, up from 2.3% in April: Bureau of Labor Statistics
by Matt Carter Jul 15
Rising inventories have more homebuyers going to their lender
Purchase loan applications soared 10% last week to the highest level since April, even though rates have been stuck in the high 6s, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported Wednesday
by Matt Carter Jun 11
May CPI misses projections even as tariff effects hold off
The Consumer Price Index rose 2.4% year over year, slightly above April's 2.3% increase. Month over month, prices edged up just 0.1%, compared to 0.2% in April
by Richelle Hammiel Jun 11
Homebuyers out in force for a 2nd week as mortgage rates stabilize
With more homes to choose from, purchase loan applications were up 18% from a year ago last week as buyers forged ahead despite economic uncertainty, MBA lender survey finds
by Matt Carter May 14
Inflation eased in March, but tariff impacts remain to be seen
Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index dropped to an annual rate of 2.4% last month, but the impact of tariffs probably won't start showing up in the data until May
by Matt Carter Apr 10
Inflation, job worries drive 'horrific' consumer confidence report
Republicans are less worried about the future than Democrats and Independents, but 'consumers from all 3 political affiliations are in agreement that the outlook has weakened since February'
by Matt Carter Mar 14
Encouraging CPI inflation report does little for mortgage rates
Homebuyers have responded to a pullback in mortgage rates from January highs, but tariffs on imported goods could keep inflation elevated and halt the downward trend in rates
by Matt Carter Mar 12
Mortgage rates climbing again on hot CPI report, Powell testimony
Trump calls for lower interest rates after release of January CPI report. Powell says Fed is in no hurry to cut rates, and bond market investors who fund mortgages are taking him at his word
by Matt Carter Feb 12
real estate economist
Windermere’s Principal Economist Jeff Tucker looks at mortgage rates and the factors that have pushed them up more than a point since September
by Jeff Tucker Jan 17
Mortgage rates ease on benign December inflation report
Investors bid up shares of mortgage lenders and real estate companies after 'relatively benign' CPI report ends speculation that inflation worries might force the Fed to raise rates this year
by Matt Carter Jan 15
Top 5 predictions for 2025 from Windermere's principal economist
Opinion
Despite the setbacks we saw this year, 2025 will likely see many of the same trends come true that were initially predicted for 2024, Windermere’s Principal Economist Jeff Tucker writes
by Jeff Tucker Dec 30
December Fed rate cut seen as a lock — then caution may prevail
The latest CPI reading is in line with expectations, but progress in the fight against inflation has stalled, economists warn. A slower pace of easing might keep mortgage rates above 6% in 2025
by Matt Carter Dec 11