He's been at the MBA and Fannie Mae. Here's who he thinks has the better 2026 mortgage forecast
Economist Doug Duncan weighs in on the challenges facing economic forecasters today, cutbacks in economic reports produced by Fannie and Freddie, Fed independence, and more
by Matt Carter Dec 31
picture of Wall Street bull statue, showing the role the market plays in retirement for real estate agents
Monthly purchases of $13B in mortgages and mortgage-backed securities may be taking pressure off mortgage rates — and setting the stage for a more attractive public offering
by Matt Carter Dec 15
Rising unemployment revives prospects for December rate cut
Fannie Mae forecasters are predicting mortgage rates will fall below 6 percent by the end of next year. Economists at the Mortgage Bankers Association don't see rates coming down at all.
by Matt Carter Nov 21
Fannie, Freddie close NY offices as Trump battles Letitia James
The Trump administration is using its tight control over the mortgage giants to continue a vendetta against New York attorney general and other political opponents, critics say
by Matt Carter Oct 6
Should they stay or go (down) now? Forecasters are split on where mortgage rates will be in 2026
In predicting that mortgage rates will drop below 6% next year, economists at Fannie Mae are more optimistic about growth and less worried about inflation than their MBA counterparts
by Matt Carter Sep 23
Will home sales rebound? Closely watched forecasts say, 'Yes'
Economists at Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association differ on how much room mortgage rates have to come down and how fast home price appreciation will cool
by Matt Carter Jul 24
Consumer sentiment is hurting, but economy hasn't faltered
The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment slipped to 50.8 in May, its second lowest reading ever, as Americans fretted about tariffs, inflation and the job market
by Matt Carter May 16
Dramatic downward revisions for projected 2025 home sales: Fannie
Fannie Mae and MBA forecasts dampened expectations for projected home sales in 2025 while offering a more cautious outlook on the prospects of mortgage rates coming down in the new year
by Matt Carter Nov 21
'Modest' recession could put a lid on 2023 home sales: Fannie Mae
Economic downturn could put a damper on a promising start to the spring homebuying season, but set the stage for mortgage rates to ease and sales to rebound in 2024, Fannie Mae predicts
by Matt Carter Feb 22
Homebuyer sentiment falls for the 8th month in a row to all-time low
Only 16% of those surveyed by Fannie Mae in October said it was a good time to buy a home, and the percentage who said it's a good time to sell also fell, according to new data released Monday
by Matt Carter Nov 7
For the first time, Fannie Mae now expects home prices to fall next year
Economists at Fannie Mae project national home prices to decline by 1.5% and home sales by 21% in 2023 as Fed continues inflation fight
by Matt Carter Oct 12
As it keeps hiking short-term rates, Fed stays the course on mortgages
Fed Chair Jerome Powell says policymakers are not ready to start selling off Treasurys and mortgage debt to accelerate trimming of $9T balance sheet
by Matt Carter Sep 21
As recession looms, consumers see tide turning in favor of homebuyers
Fannie Mae finds 81% of Americans think the economy is on the wrong track, but the share of consumers who think it's a good time to buy ticked up in June
by Matt Carter Jul 8