Mortgage rates just hit a new 2025 low. They might be stuck there.
MBA forecasts rates will probably stay right where they are now in 2026, as investors have already priced in future Fed rate cuts. But look for 3 years of steady growth in home sales ahead
by Matt Carter Oct 22
Most Americans think mortgage rates and home prices have peaked
The silver lining in deteriorating consumer confidence is that the weaker job market means the Fed is expected to slash rates several times this year and next, even as tariffs fuel inflation
by Matt Carter Sep 12
Jobs report gives the Fed more leeway for a September rate cut
With Trump's Aug. 1 trade deal deadline looming, new readings on consumer confidence show would-be homebuyers may be getting less fearful that tariffs will tank the economy
by Matt Carter Jul 29
Uncertainty over tariff policies continues to worry consumers
As negotiations continue, 2 closely watched surveys show Americans remain concerned that the US could soon face the dual challenge of an economic slowdown and an increase in inflation
by Matt Carter Jun 27
Tariff fears are behind those big swings in consumer confidence
A surge in the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index for May made the preliminary numbers from a similar U of M survey look 'far too negative,' one economist told clients Tuesday
by Matt Carter May 27
Consumer sentiment is hurting, but economy hasn't faltered
The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment slipped to 50.8 in May, its second lowest reading ever, as Americans fretted about tariffs, inflation and the job market
by Matt Carter May 16
Tariff fears sour consumer sentiment, push mortgage rates up
The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment fell 11% from March to April to 50.8 and is now lower than it was at any point during the 2007-2009 Great Recession
by Matt Carter Apr 11
Inflation, job worries drive 'horrific' consumer confidence report
Republicans are less worried about the future than Democrats and Independents, but 'consumers from all 3 political affiliations are in agreement that the outlook has weakened since February'
by Matt Carter Mar 14
Mortgage rates seen as staying higher for longer as Fed pauses
Economists and bond market investors have been surprised by the continued strength of the economy, and are wary of the potential for tariffs, tax cuts and deportations to reignite inflation
by Matt Carter Feb 21
Anxiety over mortgage rates, rent and home prices begins to mount
Inflation expectations surged after President Donald Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on goods from China, Canada and Mexico, a new University of Michigan survey of consumers finds
by Matt Carter Feb 10
Consumer unease over inflation rekindled in August following rally
Consumer sentiment dipped to 69.5 in August following months of recovery, a downward shift that underscores the complex web of rapidly changing expectations, according to data released Friday
by Daniel Houston Aug 25
Consumers finally get it: Mortgage rates are probably going down
More optimistic outlook of where mortgage rates are headed over the next 12 months drives the largest increase in Fannie Mae's Home Purchase Sentiment Index in more than 2 years
by Matt Carter May 12