Homebuyer demand sags as mortgage rates stay range bound
Applications for purchase mortgages drops for a 5th consecutive week to the lowest level since October as mortgage rates continue to hover above 6%, MBA lender surveys show
by Matt Carter Jan 7
He's been at the MBA and Fannie Mae. Here's who he thinks has the better 2026 mortgage forecast
Economist Doug Duncan weighs in on the challenges facing economic forecasters today, cutbacks in economic reports produced by Fannie and Freddie, Fed independence, and more
by Matt Carter Dec 31
Massive downward jobs revision not budging mortgage rates
Rebenchmarking that suggests the US added 911K fewer jobs than previously thought generates political heat but was widely expected by economists and investors
by Matt Carter Sep 9
people in line for job interview
Investors who fund most home loans are no longer wondering whether the Fed will cut rates this month, but by how much. At least 3 quarter-percentage point rate cuts are now expected this year
by Matt Carter Sep 5
Gary Keller: Real estate could be in a recession until late 2026
At Keller Williams Mega Agent Camp, Co-Founder Gary Keller said the housing market could be in a recession through late 2026, as the economy experiences burgeoning stagflation
by Marian McPherson Aug 12
Mortgage rates drop with stocks on surprise jobs report and new tariffs
Trump announces new tariffs on dozens of countries beginning Aug. 7, fires BLS commissioner after revised jobs report shows dramatic slowdown in payroll growth in May and June
by Matt Carter Aug 1
Jobs report gives the Fed more leeway for a September rate cut
With Trump's Aug. 1 trade deal deadline looming, new readings on consumer confidence show would-be homebuyers may be getting less fearful that tariffs will tank the economy
by Matt Carter Jul 29
Job market is cooling, but not fast enough to alarm Fed policymakers
An estimated 7.24M Americans were unemployed in May, as hiring by private employers slowed to slowest pace since October and the federal government continued to shrink its payroll
by Matt Carter Jun 6
Weak February jobs report moves the needle on mortgage rates
Mortgage rates eased Friday as investors took stock of new data showing employers added 151,000 workers to their payrolls in February and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.1%
by Matt Carter Mar 7
Hiring slows and unemployment rises, boosting odds of Fed rate cut
Employers added 227,000 workers to their payrolls in November, but with 7.1 million Americans out of work, the unemployment rate is back up to 4.2%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports
by Matt Carter Dec 6
Inflation cooled in September, nearing the Fed's 2% target
Mortgage rates inch up as an expected decline in key inflation gauge does little to change expectations for Fed rate cuts among investors who fund most home loans
by Matt Carter Oct 31
Latest inflation numbers could give mortgage rates additional lift
Reports send mixed signals on the economy, with CPI showing prices rose more sharply than expected in September and jobless claims surging to highest level in more than a year
by Matt Carter Oct 10
Mortgage rates are soaring on strong September jobs report
With a soft landing seen as more likely, analysts say Fed can be more cautious about the pace of future rate cuts and mortgage rates aren't likely to fall below 6% anytime soon
by Matt Carter Oct 4
Weak jobs report drags down stock indexes — and mortgage rates
August payroll report includes 'huge downward revisions' to previous estimates of June and July job growth, renewing recession worries and prospects for aggressive Fed rate cuts
by Matt Carter Sep 6
Mortgage rates are tumbling again as job openings hit 18-month low
Bond market investors who fund most mortgages are already certain the Fed will slash rates this month. The question has become how much will policymakers cut on Sept. 18, Nov. 7 and Dec. 18?
by Matt Carter Sep 4