Fannie Mae, MBA economists still expect mild 2024 recession
The good news for real estate pros is that closely watched forecasts agree home sales will bottom in Q4 2023, and mortgage rates are looking ready to come down significantly next year
by Matt Carter Dec 19
Rates keep falling, and buyers and sellers are springing into action
Listings and pending sales hit the highest level in roughly a year, according to a new report from Redfin. Still, a record number of contracts were canceled
by Taylor Anderson Dec 15
Economists agree rates have peaked. But will they come down?
Two closely watched forecasts agree that mortgage rates have probably peaked, but the MBA and Fannie Mae diverge sharply on how quickly they'll come down over the next 2 years
by Matt Carter Nov 22
Homebuyers respond to biggest drop in mortgage rates this year
Purchase mortgage applications trended up last week for the first time in a month as mortgage rates retreated from 2023 highs, according to the MBA's weekly survey of lenders
by Matt Carter Nov 8
Impact of 'lock-in effect' on listings may have been overstated
Fannie Mae researchers say rising mortgage rates aren't the only reason homeowners have been reluctant to sell, and that a decline in rates won't necessarily produce a flood of for-sale listings
by Matt Carter Oct 30
Existing-home sales droop as mortgage rates hit 20-year highs
Home sales fell 2% between August and September and retreated 15.4% from a year ago as prices and interest rates climbed
by Ben Verde Oct 19
Buyers continue downward spiral, but new listings may be steadying
Homebuyers are backing away from the market as mortgage rates continue to climb. But new listings aren't declining as quickly, Redfin reports
by Daniel Houston Oct 19
Economists now less certain 2024 will bring much mortgage rate relief
Fed's ‘higher for longer’ rate strategy could keep home sales from rebounding in 2024 or limit the strength of a recovery, according to two closely followed forecasts by MBA, Fannie Mae
by Matt Carter Oct 17
2023 fall outlook: A cooler season roiled by homebuyer-seller friction
Commissions will take a hit from the seasonal real estate transaction fall-off. But unlike last year, home price growth may gain steam, according to an Intel analysis of housing market projections
by Daniel Houston Sep 13
Home sales will bottom out in 2023, analysts forecast. But then what?
MBA forecasters expect rates to ease and sales to rise next year, but Fannie Mae economists predict home sales will remain subdued even if the Fed pulls off a soft landing
by Matt Carter Aug 23
Homebuyer mortgage demand falls to lowest level since 1995
As mortgage rates hit new post-pandemic highs on inflation worries, MBA survey finds purchase loan demand down 5% week over week and 30% from a year ago
by Matt Carter Aug 23
Share of first-time homebuyers hits highest level since 2010: Zillow
Unburdened by rate lock, the share of first-time homebuyers rose to 50% this year, according to a new report from Zillow. That's the highest share since 2010
by Taylor Anderson Aug 23
Gary Keller: A 'rolling recession' will hit the US housing market in 2024
Keller Williams kicked off its Mega Agent Camp on Tuesday with remarks from Gary Keller, who warned of a 'rolling recession' while predicting agents will survive treacherous economic terrain
by Marian McPherson Aug 15
Rocket back in the black after boosting purchase market share
Detroit-based mortgage giant returned to profitability during the spring homebuying season by slashing costs and boosting its market share in the face of severe inventory shortages
by Matt Carter Aug 4
Redfin CEO: Adjustable-rate loans may push sellers off the sidelines
In an interview with CNBC on Wednesday, Redfin CEO Glenn Kelman laid out some of the variables that might begin to unlock home inventory in the years to come, including adjustable rate resets
by Daniel Houston Jul 20