Rates plunge upon December manufacturing surprise, and a new year's forecast
Opinion
Economics, not politics, impacts the bond markets the most
by Lou Barnes Jan 3
2019 and beyond: A look back
Opinion
Leaders of federal administrations always take credit for roaring economies, but the reality is more complex
by Lou Barnes Dec 27
Gloved hands holding out holiday-wrapped gifts
Opinion
As per tradition, markets are quiet around this time of year, plus a holiday reading recommendation
by Lou Barnes Dec 20
The Fed signals that interest rates won't change through 2020. Really?
This December is packed with news, but markets remain unperturbed. That begs the question — what really matters?
by Lou Barnes Dec 13
Latest employment news is too good for a rate drop
The latest jobs report is good; most other factors are stable. The economic wild card is the uncertain prospects of the outcome of the trade talks with China.
by Lou Barnes Dec 6
Markets poised for lower rates
The greatest threat to the global economy is trade friction with China
by Lou Barnes Nov 22
Mortgage rates rising? Look again
The information technology revolution continues to break old assumptions behind economic modeling
by Lou Barnes Nov 15
Mortgage rates are back at July levels
The trade war damage in the US outside of manufacturing and farms has been undetectable
by Lou Barnes Nov 8
Good news from bonds and mortgages? Read and smile
The economy keeps humming along
by Lou Barnes Nov 1
Up arrow buildings growth increase success
There might be some volatility ahead
by Lou Barnes Oct 25
Positive outlook clouded by the threat of impeachment
Opinion
The Brexit deal, the negotiations with China and a new president of the European Central Bank are all good news
by Lou Barnes Oct 18
Washington's political drama obscures potential new rate drops
The forecast for interest rates is still low, reinforced by new information from the Federal Reserve
by Lou Barnes Oct 11
Rates head toward all-time lows
The numbers don't reflect a looming recession, just a natural slowdown
by Lou Barnes Oct 7
Housing is improving, and the economy is steady
The outlook: A mixed bag
by Lou Barnes Sep 27
Housing market too strong for more Fed cuts
Opinion
US economy and housing are resilient
by Lou Barnes Sep 20